On August 20, 2012, monitoring from various social monitoring agencies showed that the rate of change of crude oil in the three places has reached 3.51%. Regardless of the change in oil prices today, this rate of change will rise by 4%, thus hitting the highest retail sales of domestic gasoline and diesel. The red line of the price increase.
According to China's refined oil price adjustment mechanism, the two price adjustments should be separated by 22 working days, and another condition for the increase of refined oil prices on September 7 will be satisfied. However, social monitoring agencies have predicted that the rate of change of crude oil in the three places will reach 8% at that time, and the price increase of refined oil products is expected to be strong.
Among them, the monitoring from Treasure Island showed that the average daily price of crude oil in the three places on August 17 was 113.945 US dollars per barrel, and the average price on the 22nd was 108.181 US dollars per barrel, which was 3.51% higher than the benchmark price on August 8. Li Shuang, a researcher at Treasure Island Oil Products, told reporters that since the price change of one or two days has little effect on this rate of change, no matter how the international oil price changes today, the rate of change of crude oil in the three places will exceed 4%. This statement was recognized by Anxun Siwang Energy Energy Liao Kaiyi and Zhuo Chuang Consulting Chen Qing.
In the wholesale market, market participants such as traders generally expect that domestic gasoline and diesel oil prices will rise again, so traders are expected to increase their stocks in advance. In some areas, Sinopec, PetroChina and other main units have suspended trade, secondary wholesale, etc. The middlemen's refined oil wholesale, but direct sales continue.
Liao Kaixuan expects that in the next window of refined oil price adjustment, if it is in line with international crude oil, the increase will reach 400-450 yuan / ton, he thinks that the possibility of raising the national discount next time will be relatively small, because on the one hand, the country's energy price The attitude of change is more and more market-oriented and internationalized; on the other hand, the state should reduce subsidies for financial reasons.
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